The Vikings lead the NFL in giveaways (11) and rank second-worst in turnover differential (minus-eight). If Minnesota is forced to run more plays to move the ball, that only increases the likelihood for turnovers. The Chiefs haven't allowed a single offensive touchdown longer than 10 yards all season, which could hamstring a Vikings offense that's often reliant on big plays in the passing game. It ranks fifth in scoring, eighth in yards, and top-10 on third down and in the redzone. Kansas City's offense always gets the spotlight, but the defense has been among the best in the league.

Top Week 5 NFL picksĪfter simulating every game 10,000 times, the model is high on the Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5) to cover on the road against the Minnesota Vikings. You can only see the model's Week 5 NFL picks at SportsLine. If you successfully parlay its picks, you'd be looking at a massive payout of around 25-1. Now, the model has locked in five confident NFL best bets for Week 5. The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. It is also on a 22-10 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season. The model enters Week 5 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 168-118 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. Before you make any Week 5 NFL picks or NFL parlays, be sure to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

You could combine NFL picks against the spread and wagers on NFL totals into a Week 5 NFL parlay bets. The Under has hit in New Orleans' last 10 games, while the Saints are also winless against the spread in their last five. Unsurprisingly, the Under is a combined 7-1 for them and Sunday's matchup has a total of 39.5. Both teams have yet to reach 21 points in a game this season. There are five games on the Week 5 NFL schedule that have NFL spreads of under a field goal, including Patriots vs. Based on the Week 5 NFL lines, Sunday's 12-game slate could be highly competitive.

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